Trying to figure out what the monthly payment on a loan will be, but don’t have a financial calculator handy? Here are some quick rules of thumb that I’ve come up with that will give you a pretty good estimate of the monthly payment (and what portion of that payment is initially interest) for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (or the initial payments for a 30-year adjustable-rate mortgage).
Rule of 6: At a 6% interest rate, the monthly payment will be $6 for every $1000 of the loan amount.
- Using this rule, a $300,000 30-year loan at 6% has an estimated monthly payment of $300,000 / $1000 x $6 = $1800; the actual monthly payment for that loan is $1798.65. For some people, it's easier to think of this rule as “drop the thousands part of the loan amount, and multiply by 6″; using that way of looking at it, a $650,000 30-year loan at 6% has an estimated monthly payment of 650 x $6 = $3900, and an actual payment of $3897.08.
Rule of 8: For every 1/8 of a percentage point (0.125%) that the interest rate changes from 6%, the monthly payment will change by $8 for every $100,000 of the loan amount.
- Using this rule to estimate the payment on a $300,000 30-year loan at 6.375% first involves estimating the payment for the same loan at 6%; as we saw above, that estimate is $1800. Since 6.375% is an increase of three-eighths of a percentage point from 6%, the difference is +3 x $300,000 / $100,000 x $8 = $72, so the estimated monthly payment would be $1872, vs. an actual payment of $1871.61. Again, for some folks, it's easier to just mentally shift over the decimal place rather than dividing by $100,000, in which case you could convert the rule to be “shift the decimal 5 places left in the loan amount, multiply by $8, and then multiply by the number of eighths of a percentage point difference bettwen the rate and 6%”. Looking at a $650,000 30-year loan at 5.75% in that way, we could shift the decimal in the loan amount 5 places left, giving us $6.5; we would multiple that by $8, and then multiply it again by -2 since 5.75% is two-eighths lower than 6%. 6.5 x $8 x -2 = -$104; we know using the Rule of 6 (above) that the estimated payment for a $650,000 loan at 6% is $3900/mo, so the estimated payment for the 5.75% loan is $3900 – $104 = $3795/mo, vs. an actual payment of $3793.22. (And another variation to cater to different math styles: it might be easier for you to do the math by saying that 5.75% is two-eighths different from 6%, calculating the corresponding $104 change, and then reasoning that since 5.75% is lower than 6%, you need to subtract that $104 from the initial $3900, rather than turning “a decrease of two-eighths” into a difference of “-2″ as I did above. Go with whatever floats your mathematical boat.) Note that this rule isn’t as precise as the Rule of 6, because that $8 factor that we use isn’t actually linear–the further you get from 6%, the larger it should be, so that at 12%, for example, the value used should be closer to $8.92. “The Rule of 8, or $8.92 at 12%” isn’t nearly as easy to remember, however, and the $8 factor is fairly accurate for interest rates between 4% and 8%, where rates are expected to stay for the forseeable future.
Rule of 5 and 10: At a 6% interest rate, the portion of the monthly payment that is initially interest is $5 for every $1000 of the loan amount, and for every 1/8 of a percentage point (0.125%) that the interest rate changes from 6%, the monthly payment will change by $10 for every $100,000 of the loan amount.
- The interest portion of your mortgage payment is usually tax-deductible, so sometimes people want to estimate that as well to see how a given mortgage will affect their take-home pay each month; once you know the Rules of 6 and 8, all you have to remember is that for the interest portion of the initial payments, the analogous factors are $5 per $1000, and $10 per $100,000, while the things you are measuring against remain 6%, and eighth-of-a-percentage-point changes from 6%, respectively. For that same $300,000 30-year loan at 6%, then, the estimated portion of the initial payment that will be interest is $300,000 / $1000 x $5 = $1500; the actual interest portion of that payment, as it turns out, is also exactly $1500. For the $650,000 loan at 5.75%, the estimated interest portion at 6% would be $650,000 / $1000 x $5 = $3250, and since 5.75% is two-eighths lower than 6%, that changes the estimated interest portion by -2 x $650,000 / $100,000 x $10 (or -2 x 6.5 x $10 if you prefer) = -$135, so the estimated interest portion of the initial payments is $3250 – $135 = $3115, vs. the actual number of $3114.58. (As with the Rule of 8, the $10 factor isn’t linear, but should be fine for interest rates between 4 and 8%. Also, it’s worth noting that while your monthly payment stays the same over the life of a fixed-rate loan, the portion of that payment that is interest doesn’t; at the beginning, almost all of your payment goes towards interest, while at the end of the loan, almost all of the payment goes towards principal, so the Rule of 5 and 10 is most accurate when looking at the first months of a loan.)
Interested in getting more accurate numbers about monthly payments? Let us know what you are looking for and we’d be glad to run some more specific numbers for you.
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